2025 SEASON · WEEK 15 · LAST-SEASON SNAPSHOT — LIVE WEEKLY PICKS START WEEK 1 2026
Who should you stream this week?
Boom/bust probabilities for kickers, DST and every streaming position — backtested across 2018–2025, with our full track record public. Free kicker rankings, every week.
Vegas lines, weather, opponent defense and recent form feed position-specific models — one per position, tuned separately.
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Predict booms and busts, not points
Exact point projections are mostly noise. We publish the probability of a ceiling game (BOOM) and a disaster game (BUST) — the calls that decide start/sit.
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Grade ourselves in public
Rolling backtests across 2018–2025 before launch, and a weekly hits-and-misses recap in season. The record page shows everything — including the misses.
Why trust it
8 seasons of data, 2018–2025~2× base rate top-5 boom hit rateEvery miss published weeklyBeats Vegas baselines on DST
One email a week in season — kicker tiers, the DST teaser, and what the model got wrong last week.
Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Kicker scoring has inherent randomness — we publish our misses. Not affiliated with the NFL. Not gambling advice.