2026 SEASON · WEEK 6 · SATURDAY FINAL
Who should you stream this week?
Boom/bust probabilities for kickers, DST and every streaming position — backtested across 2018–2025, with our full track record public. Free kicker rankings, every week.
DST — Top 3 freeMOST ACCURATE MODEL
1. KC vs LAC34%
2. NE vs NYJ31%
3. IND vs TEN30%
4. ●●● vs ●●●--%
5. ●●● vs ●●●--%
Last week's grade
In season, this card grades our previous week's calls — hits and misses, every single week. First grade lands Week 1 2026. How we grade →
Premium · 2026 season
QB/RB/WR/TE boards, full DST, 10th-to-90th-percentile weekly ranges, model notes. Pay what you want — no minimum.
Go Premium — pay what you wantHow it works
Full methodology →1
Model every matchup
Vegas lines, weather, opponent defense and recent form feed position-specific models — one per position, tuned separately.
2
Predict booms and busts, not points
Exact point projections are mostly noise. We publish the probability of a ceiling game (BOOM) and a disaster game (BUST) — the calls that decide start/sit.
3
Grade ourselves in public
Rolling backtests across 2018–2025 before launch, and a weekly hits-and-misses recap in season. The record page shows everything — including the misses.
Why trust it
8 seasons of data, 2018–2025~2× base rate top-5 boom hit rateEvery miss published weeklyBeats Vegas baselines on DST
Methodology →The weekly column, in your inbox
One email a week in season — kicker tiers, the DST teaser, and what the model got wrong last week.