2026 SEASON · WEEK 6 · SATURDAY FINAL

TE Rankings

Tight end is the most boom/bust position in fantasy — our calls hit 40% of top-5 booms in the held-out 2025 test, double chance. Click any row for the model's reasoning.

BOOM = 11+ ptsBUST = under 3 ptshalf-PPR.A MID label means the model has no confident boom or bust call.
Rated this week: players averaging 4+ half-PPR points over their last six games (3+ games played), plus each team's listed starter (the depth chart #1 with the most snaps), with at least one NFL game. Rookies and role-changers join once they have a game on record and clear the bar; until then they show on the watch list. The two right-hand columns are the model's 10th and 90th percentile weeks, not a floor or a ceiling.
0.39
BOOM F1 (2025 TEST)
40%
TOP-5 HIT VS ~20% CHANCE
0.41
RANK CORRELATION
SCORINGHalf PPR
RKPLAYERMATCHUPBOOMBUST10TH PCT90TH PCT
▲ BOOM TIERstart with confidence
1ARITrey McBride@ LA@ LA41%7% ▼3.616.5▼
2LVBrock Bowersvs BUFvs BUF48%6% ▼1.919.3▼
3SFGeorge Kittlevs WASvs WAS39%12% ▼3.017.2▼
4NYGIsaiah Likelyvs NOvs NO40%9% ▼3.017.7▼
5KCTravis Kelcevs LACvs LAC30%17% ▼2.516.0▼
6LATyler Higbeevs ARIvs ARI26%18% ▼2.716.2▼
7INDTyler Warrenvs TENvs TEN28%15% ▼2.015.0▼
8BUFDalton Kincaid@ LV@ LV28%21% ▼1.518.7▼
9BALMark Andrews@ CLE@ CLE27%20% ▼1.814.9▼
10CHIColston Loveland@ ATL@ ATL29%19% ▼1.913.9▼
11NOJuwan Johnson@ NYG@ NYG23%21% ▼2.712.4▼
12JAXBrenton Strangevs HOUvs HOU24%23% ▼1.514.4▼
13TBCade Ottonvs PITvs PIT23%22% ▼1.513.8▼
● MID TIERno confident call either way — read the notes
14PHIDallas Goedertvs CARvs CAR21%25% ▼1.414.0▼
15HOUDalton Schultz@ JAX@ JAX20%24% ▼2.113.6▼
16GBTucker Kraftvs DALvs DAL21%23% ▼2.112.9▼
17PITPat Freiermuth@ TB@ TB19%27% ▼1.313.9▼
18WASChig Okonkwo@ SF@ SF21%27% ▼1.414.5▼
19LVMichael Mayervs BUFvs BUF19%27% ▼1.311.2▼
▼ BUST TIERfade unless desperate
20CLEHarold Fannin Jr.vs BALvs BAL18%28% ▼2.616.6▼
21ATLKyle Pittsvs CHIvs CHI19%31% ▼1.49.9▼
22NEHunter Henryvs NYJvs NYJ20%28% ▼2.213.1▼
23CARDarren Waller@ PHI@ PHI18%29% ▼1.513.8▼
24NYJKenyon Sadiq@ NE@ NE16%34% ▼1.113.5▼
25PHIZach Ertzvs CARvs CAR18%34% ▼0.711.7▼
26LAColby Parkinsonvs ARIvs ARI13%38% ▼1.010.4▼
27LACCharlie Kolar@ KC@ KC9%45% ▼1.113.8▼
28DALJake Ferguson@ GB@ GB14%33% ▼1.912.3▼
29DENEvan Engramvs SEAvs SEA19%30% ▼1.311.3▼
30SEAAJ Barner@ DEN@ DEN12%35% ▼1.010.9▼
31NONoah Fant@ NYG@ NYG10%38% ▼1.210.9▼
32NEEli Raridonvs NYJvs NYJ10%43% ▼1.411.2▼
33NYJMason Taylor@ NE@ NE14%36% ▼0.87.8▼
34TENGunnar Helm@ IND@ IND9%44% ▼1.310.0▼
35ARIElijah Higgins@ LA@ LA10%42% ▼1.412.2▼
36PITDarnell Washington@ TB@ TB10%42% ▼1.09.8▼
37CARTommy Tremble@ PHI@ PHI12%37% ▼1.110.2▼
38DENNate Adkinsvs SEAvs SEA9%47% ▼1.311.9▼
39ATLAustin Hoopervs CHIvs CHI11%43% ▼1.013.7▼
40ARITeagan Quitoriano@ LA@ LA8%48% ▼0.611.2▼
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Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Kicker scoring has inherent randomness — we publish our misses. Not affiliated with the NFL. Not gambling advice.